By David Mayen Ayarbior, Juba, South Sudan
July 26, 2015 (SSB) —- In part one of this intended series of short articles on S. Sudan’s accession to EAC we have seen the basic elements of two key perspectives on whether South Sudan should or should not join the regional economic block. The group against accession argues from a market-access perspective, which holds that producers of goods invariably benefit more than consumers; while the group for accession argues from the trickle down effect perspective of economic growth, which holds that regional prosperity will surely engulf S. Sudan – “the rising tides of economic growth shall lift all boats.”
Weighing the merits and demerits of those two perspectives is informed by the fact that once S. Sudan joins EAC, there are implications which will continue even if it later decided to opt out, if not sent out. If it later finds out the hard way that the decision to accede to the regional market was hasty, there will be no Germany to keep on pumping billions of EAC shillings or U.S. dollars into the ‘blood streams’ of its collapsing or colonized economy. On its way out, it will either be given a golden coffin to carry home as royalty or, God forbid, sent out in that very coffin with the hope that, like Jesus, it finds its own way to resurrect and start again as an “independent” state with huge debts to pay and middle industrial class to create.