March 30, 2015 (SSB) —- Our flag drips with our blood and that of our brothers. In some neighbours’ eyes, our flag represents no country. To them, South Sudan represents a void, which needs creation. So out of South Sudan, they desire to create for themselves, an economical hub.
Kenyans calculated 7 wrong calculations; these forced them to invade South Sudan’s territory.
Wrong calculation # 1: our internal conflict.
In multiple pieces, our country broke. A war claimed thousands and displaced thousands of our citizens to neighboring countries. So to them(Kenyans), the conflict weakened our military capabilities. With this hollow in our brotherhood’s bonds, Kenyans think, they can grab anything out of South Sudan. So they invaded our God given territory.
However, this calculation will fail in the following stance. Brothers’ disagreements don’t hold across the borders. So if wicked and opportunistic neighbours capitalise on brothers’ disagreements, then they will wake up in another planet. A planet where united brothers tackle the greedy aggressors.
Wrong calculation #2: Our citizens fuel.. ..
Our citizens littered Kenya, from Northern Kenya to Southern Kenya, and from Eastern Kenya to Western Kenya. South Sudanese run Nairobi (Central) economically. Kenyans might have considered South Sudanese refugees in Kakuma(Turkana’s land) in their equations (calculations); however, the responsibility of registered refugees belong to the UN. With this calculation in minds, Kenyans invaded South Sudan.
However, South Sudan has two capacities to neutralise the above calculation. Firstly, the government of South Sudan can call its citizens residing in Kenya, home. Secondly, the government of South Sudan can advise its citizens living in Kenya to register as refugees.
Our citizens fuel Kenyans’ economy through renting properties, buying food and none food items. Even transport sector: land and air; South Sudanese spend fortunes in travelling in and out of Kenya.
In addition, 30,000 Kenyans reside and work in South Sudan. If Our government expel them today, Kenyans will weep and suffer. Our population in Kenya, spend every dollar or shilling in Kenya. And negligible number of South Sudanese work in Kenya . I swear, the decision will be a disaster. Another double economical loss. So this calculation is another dumb ass calculation.
Wrong calculation #3: politicians’ and business persons’ money
The tsunamic corruption in South Sudan today, originated from Kenya. No doubts that Kenya police watch money in bulky cheques and bags into Kenya without a word. This money laundering, quadrupled the Kenyans’ bank profits through compound interest. Therefore, Kenyans’ economy exponentially grow every year because every dollar earn on oil, sublimes to Kenyans’ banks.
With these large amount of South Sudanese money floating in their banks, Kenyans made, yet another wrong calculation. They believe, South Sudan’s politicians can’t sprint to war whatsoever.
However, Kenyans calculated it wrong because before anything, South Sudanese politicians have rights to withdraw their money and invest it in some other countries such as Zimbabwe and Egypt.
Wrong calculation #4: Their universities.
From small to large universities in Kenya, South Sudan’s tertiary students fill the lectures theatres. These universities feed South Sudan with some outstanding graduates every year. This, another wrong calculation of Kenya. They think, because hundreds of our students at their universities, we can’t go for war even if they annex Kapoeta.
However, they calculated it wrong because our students run their universities financially through universities’ fees and accommodation’s fees. South Sudan has capability of sending her students to abroad, leave alone to Africans’ universities. If South Sudan withdraws her students, Kenyans’ universities will collapse.
Wrong calculation #5: real estate investment
South Sudanese politicians and business persons invest their money in Kenya’s real estate sector. They bought mansions and townhouses for rent. Some have bought 7 stars mansions for their personal uses. So billions of dollars reel around in Kenya economy from real estate.
With this gigantic amount of money, Kenyans think, they can get away with South Sudan invasion. They are wrong again, because this amount of money doesn’t equate to 62 years old wealth, Kenyans, especially Kikuyu[Uhuru (president)’s tribe of Kenya] accumulated. Make no mistake, we can match into war.
Wrong calculation #6: Diplomacy
The Kenyans despise us on diplomatic matters. They think, they can win both ways outright. I bet in this area, we can beat them terribly because our foreign affairs minister, Marial Benjamin has an expertise in foreign affairs .
Wrong calculation #7: Mombasa’ s port
All our military supplies come from Mombasa’s port. With our problems, which need military logistics and arms, Kenyans think, they can create or destroy anything in South Sudan, given its position of being stationed at the shore and South Sudan being a landlocked.
However, our military supplies can find their ways to South Sudan by air. We can afford this, given our financial standard.
To rest it, Kenyans must be careful about our president because scratching his nerves by invading our country is a grave decision. He can give sweeping orders anytime. Kenyans must use diplomatic options but not military pressures because Kiir is an expert in this area.