DR. RIEK! …NOW THAT “CONVINCING” IS FAILING, TRY “CONFUSSION”
6 min readBy KON Joseph LEEK, Juba
January 29, 2015 (SSB) — Certain US president once said that, “if you cannot convince them then, confuse them” …. Is the strategy Riek has resort to doing now”. Please look below
‘Salva Kiir lost his case in Arusha, he should just resign… He took the country to war because of that, now he comes and admits he is wrong, so why would he remain in power?’ radical Riek Machar told his apostles in Nairobi a day after the Arusha reunification
Riek’s issue is a case of a vulture rejoicing over Carcass and corpses – a sensible person would not insist on what he has failed to do since Dec, 2013. Who is delaying and denying you to remove him [Kiir] from power? It has now become a typical solo song that you sing and still responded by the same you.
It is vividly clear that you are fighting a lone game, a game you will not win because you are playing against yourself, and you are not yet aware of that
If Riek is talking of Kiir’s removal, it is clear that he means violent mean, and South Sudanese are tired of that, we are now in peaceful resolution and he is again visioning to frustrate it.
What I belief he is doing is just a “bluffing” but not reality to the rebel generals who are not satisfied with the reunification’s agreement in ARUSHA.
The reunification only favors him since it was only focused on SPLM and the rest were not part. The Tanzania’s Chama Cha Mapinduzi [CCM] believes that the crises in South Sudan were generated from the SPLM power struggles but was all cracked by the dismissal of Riek Machar from the government with some of his subordinates [the chain he had constructed was broken – hence, provoking him to take up arms against the gov’t], this is why they [CCM] decided to reunite the SPLM and again shown them guidelines of how a party can be managed. This saw Riek, a rebel leader replaced back to his place as Deputy SPLM chairman.
The rest [Gatwich Dual, Gatdet Yak and others] became furious that if they were the ones who helped Riek to resist fighting the government since 2013 by mobilizing the youth to cover-up the governments guns’ nozzles, then who is Riek alone to be part of the “distribution” of which they were left out?
They insisted to choose between fighting the government to the end, until Kiir run away from the seat or they rebel against Riek. Riek wouldn’t like anyone to fight the government to the end because to him, it is all politics and politics is not always straight – it zigzags and curves with a lot of U-turns through “belonging and bleeding” of the inferiors – Gatwei, Gatdet and other rebel generals are still not aware of that.
He [RIEK] too wouldn’t feel comfortable seeing anyone rebelling against him because they are the people he is using to get his interest and if they turn against him [RIEK], he would then be nobody. He can simply opt to committing suicide. So, he better use his mighty power of thinking to stay with them until his mission is accomplished – then drop them later
For Riek to convince these people is to CONFUSE them that, the agreements signed are all naïve, useless and sham and would not ever come back to Kiir’s government unless Kiir is removed. He say these as a trick to the people he is militarily using as another political way for his “military fame”.
He is afraid to hurt them in any case because upon doing so, he would be declined militarily and his political strength would sink straight away
He is doing this for now, and when time comes later, he would hasten run to JUBA leaving angry generals in the bush – like he always does
In DUK County now, many GAWAAR and LOU-NUER youth are coming to graze their cattle around the swamps denouncing RIEK’s war.
Gatwech Dual, who is the chief of staff of Riek’s forces is being excommunicate and isolated by LOU chiefs because they [chiefs] believes that RIEK whose state [UNITY STATE] is relatively stable and had a lesser number of youth who participated during the crises [2013-early 2014] is looking forward to sweeping the LOU-NUER youths in front-line against the government
The chiefs see this as another RIEK strategy to prolong the war because, ‘if the former clan-chief of chieng-BUR [Gatwech Dual] is not appeased with a big post,’ Riek thought, “no one else can manage to mobilize the LOU youth because he [GATWECH] is one of the most respected and feared military generals in the area’.
And any war of which LOU has not accepted and participated cannot be accepted and participated by the other Nuer on the grounds that they are the aggressive and fearless NUER any military bright – NUER politician would want to use as for 1991, they were used through WURNYANG GATKEK LUOM [a spiritual leader from LAK Nuer – killed by the white army in 2006 during disarmament], and so is it in 2013 by the same person [Riek] through DAK KUETH DENG MAYEN [A Dinka from DUK, though migrated to GOGOOR/PIERI-WUROR county]
For the case of GATDET YAK, he is another desperate general who is losing ground in BUL [his clan in MAYOM county, BENTIU], he is known as a several-times-side-switching general, who is addicted to rebellion and defection, and any soul from his area is afraid to follow him because he starts this today and the other tomorrow like a violent lunatic hence making you [follower] confused either to remain where he brought you or goes back with him. ONLY a lunatic follows a fellow lunatic!
Riek is someone whom they [military generals] see as another loose politician who uses death as a tool of fame and position. He rebels with the members he influence to defect with him and again make a U-turn leaving his subordinates on the other side like he did in 2001 when he came back with his wife and may be his secretary, all the others came thereafter on their own – and he is still a role-model to many! He informs his subordinates and comes back without informing them again whenever he is rejoining – he often rejoins alone!
Those generals are the right people who have a full control of the army; RIEK is just an opportunist who is only exploiting their illiteracy and ignorance. If they decide to join the government today or if they are the ones to sign any peaceful agreement or cease fire with the government, you would see Riek hanging himself if he hates not being a president too much or automatically banishing/exiling himself from the country on his own
Riek is in confusion of the word to entice the people, beginning with himself – that he can do it, then his wife – that he is a bold husband who cannot, and does not fail, then to his friends in the bush – that he is an animal of a man that get what he wants and uses whatsoever mean to make them confident.
Instead of being a politician who uses massive blood to get power, please try peaceful mean this times to challenge KIIR if you think he is the problem… for elections are zooming
The writer is a commentator on contemporary South Sudan; He can be reached on j.konleek@gmail.com & 0955091449
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