PaanLuel Wël Media Ltd – South Sudan

"We the willing, led by the unknowing, are doing the impossible for the ungrateful. We have done so much, with so little, for so long, we are now qualified to do anything, with nothing" By Konstantin Josef Jireček, a Czech historian, diplomat and slavist.

Between Oil and Blood: The Real Cost of South Sudan’s Silence on Wad Medani Massacre

The echo of protests in South Sudan’s streets tells a story far deeper than mere civil unrest. As citizens pour into the streets of Juba, Wau, and Malakal, their anger isn’t just about the killing of unarmed civilians in Wad Medani – it’s about the price their nation continues to pay for its dependence on Sudan.

Let’s be clear about what’s really happening here: South Sudan finds itself caught in an impossible position. When your entire oil production – literally 100% of it – must flow through your neighbor’s territory to reach the market, and you haven’t paid your civil servants or military for over a year, you don’t just think twice about condemning that neighbor’s actions. You think three, four, five times.

This explains President Kiir’s painfully cautious response. His belated statement, issued more than 24 hours after the killings and carefully couched in terms like “alleged,” speaks to a harsh reality: South Sudan’s sovereignty ends where its oil pipelines begin. In calling for calm and protection of Sudanese traders rather than forcefully condemning the killings, Kiir isn’t just being diplomatic – he’s acknowledging the chokehold Sudan has on his nation’s economy.

The timing couldn’t be worse. Oil production has only just resumed, and the government’s coffers are running on fumes. This isn’t just about political positioning; it’s about survival – both political and economic. When analysts suggest Kiir fears these protests could evolve into a broader uprising, they’re pointing to a fundamental truth: nothing radicalizes a population quite like watching their government prioritize oil flows over civilian lives.

But here’s the bitter irony: the same citizens protesting in the streets benefit from the oil revenues that their government is trying to protect. The real tragedy isn’t just that South Sudan can’t stand up to Sudan – it’s that it can’t afford to. Every barrel of oil that flows through Port Sudan represents a devil’s bargain: economic survival at the cost of national dignity.

This crisis lays bare the unfinished business of South Sudan’s independence. Political freedom means little without economic autonomy. As long as South Sudan remains dependent on Sudan for oil exports, it will continue to face these impossible choices between protecting its citizens and ensuring their economic survival.

The streets of Juba may be filled with protesters today, but tomorrow they’ll still need the salaries that only oil revenues can provide. This is the real crisis facing South Sudan – not just the immediate tragedy in Wad Medani, but the long-term tragedy of a nation whose independence remains incomplete as long as its economic lifeline runs through the territory of the very nation it broke away from.

President Kiir’s weak response isn’t just about political cowardice – it’s a symptom of a deeper structural problem that won’t be solved by stronger words or more forceful condemnations. Until South Sudan finds alternative routes for its oil or diversifies its economy, it will remain caught between the imperative to protect its citizens and the necessity of maintaining the economic flows that keep the nation functioning.

The real question isn’t why President Kiir responded so weakly – it’s how long South Sudan can continue to accept this compromise between national dignity and economic necessity. The answer may lie in those same streets where citizens are protesting today, demanding something that their government currently cannot provide: the ability to stand up for South Sudanese lives without fear of economic retaliation.

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