If UN intervenes in South Sudan, President Kiir and Dr. Riek will be losers.
By David Aoloch Bion
Bitterest rumour is circulating that the International community want to established a Trusteeship Government in South Sudan under the United Nation for period of ten year. This is prompted by the failure of South Sudan political leadership to keep basic security and peace by protecting people and their property.
Fighting started on December 15 , 2013 between soldiers loyal to President Kiir and those loyal to Dr . Riek . Both sides are accused of committing atrocities in Juba, Malakal, Bor , Bentiu and Akobo .
Now , the Government is preparing for the dry season offensive against the rebels by buying of arms and training of new soldiers . So the rebels are buying arms and training new rebels . This will be catastrophe, it will cause humanitarian crisis. This alarms UN , therefore, UN want to intervene militarily to avert the disaster by placing South Sudan under UN protection
If UN establishes Trusteeship Government in South Sudan , President Salva Kiir and allies like Malong Awan , Telar Ring and many others will be forcefully disarmed , arrested or either killed like Qudaffi of Libya by the United Nation forces . On the other hand , Dr. Riek Machar and his allies like Peter Gatdet , Gabriel Tanginye will be forcefully disarmed , arrested .
UN will not keep either man in power Kiir or Riek because if UN keep Kiir in power then it has not solved Nuer problem, if UN bring Riek into power then it has created another problem for Dinka , who do not want Riek . Therefore , UN will do away with Kiir and Riek .
UN with its collaborators, who are the SPLM G-10 ( Pagan Amum , Dr , Majak Agot , etc ) and good for nothing ambassador of South Sudan to UN Dr Mading Deng will open a new page of history in South Sudan . UN will sit in the driving seat and they will sit behind the UN in political reform in South Sudan. The UN will disarm all tribal armies of Kiir and Riek then they will recruit new non-partisan, non –tribal, professional, national army of South Sudan.
What is the way forward ? The whole equation is now on the doors of Mr Kiir and Mr Riek either to avert the inevitable losing or manly lost because the UN intervenes is attached to condition , the condition if ‘’ you ( Kiir and Riek) do not bring peace to South Sudan , the UN will bring peace ‘’
So the question is , ‘,it is either you bring peace or you lost your power through might , airstrike of UN army like we did to Qudaffi of Libya , Mr Kiir ?’’ asked UN envoy to South Sudan . To Riek , no question , he is already a loser .
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